French Presidential Election First Round: Le Pen Vote Share?
Polymarket traders put "31-34%" at 41.0% on "French Presidential Election First Round: Le Pen Vote Share?". Up 7.5%p from yesterday. $162 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 18.
Most likely right now
31-34%
▲7.541%
PoliticsVol $162Total volume $162Liquidity $1.2Kin 5 months (Apr 18)
Current probability
Nov 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
31-34%
41.0%
▲7.5
28-31%
37.5%
▲6.0
34-37%
34.0%
▲1.5
37-40%
31.0%
▼2.5
40%+
30.0%
▼3.5
<28%
27.5%
▼2.0
Probability over time
31-34%
28-31%
34-37%
37-40%
40%+
<28%
2026-11-07 ~ 2026-11-09 · y-axis %
