French Presidential Election First Round: Glucksmann Vote Share?

Polymarket traders put "10-13%" at 33.5% on "French Presidential Election First Round: Glucksmann Vote Share?". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $555 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 18.

Most likely right now
10-13%
▲4.034%
PoliticsVol $555Total volume $555Liquidity $2.0Kin 5 months (Apr 18)
Current probability

Nov 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
10-13%
33.5%
▲4.0
13-16%
23.0%
▼9.5
7-10%
21.0%
▼10.5
<7%
18.5%
▼9.5
16%+
11.5%
▼6.0

Probability over time

10-13%
13-16%
7-10%
<7%
16%+
025507510011/711/811/9
2026-11-07 ~ 2026-11-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.