French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Polymarket traders put "Marine Le Pen" at 81.5% on "French Presidential Election First Round Winner". $3.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 18.
Most likely right now
Marine Le Pen
–82%
PoliticsVol $3.6KTotal volume $3.6KLiquidity $55Kin 6 months (Apr 18)
Current probability
Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Marine Le Pen
81.5%
–
Édouard Philippe
5.50%
–
Jordan Bardella
5.40%
–
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
5.00%
–
Raphaël Glucksmann
4.80%
–
Sébastien Lecornu
4.75%
–
Christine Lagarde
4.65%
–
Bruno Retailleau
4.60%
–
François Ruffin
4.60%
–
François Hollande
4.55%
–
Gabriel Attal
4.55%
–
Dominique de Villepin
4.40%
–
Sarah Knafo
4.30%
–
Marine Tondelier
3.85%
–
Éric Zemmour
2.95%
–
David Lisnard
1.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
