French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Most likely right now
Raphaël Glucksmann
▲13.0100%
PoliticsVol $2.9KTotal volume $71KLiquidity $106KComments 18in 8 months (Apr 23)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Raphaël Glucksmann
100.0%
▲13.0
Dominique de Villepin
75.0%
▲24.0
Éric Zemmour
65.0%
–
Olivier Faure
59.0%
▲8.1
Bernard Cazeneuve
53.0%
▲6.0
François Hollande
34.5%
–
Sébastien Lecornu
14.0%
▼6.5
François Bayrou
10.8%
▲4.9
Michel Barnier
10.5%
▼0.5
Jordan Bardella
8.50%
▲0.5
Carole Delga
6.50%
▼4.0
Mathilde Panot
5.70%
–
Manuel Bompard
5.50%
–
Yaël Braun-Pivet
4.55%
▼0.5
Jean Castex
4.50%
–
Valérie Pécresse
3.50%
▼0.6
Gérald Darmanin
2.10%
▼0.9
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
