French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Dominique de Villepin" at 59.5% on "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 18.
Most likely right now
Dominique de Villepin
▼1.060%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $108KLiquidity $167KComments 22in 6 months (Apr 18)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Dominique de Villepin
59.5%
▼1.0
François Hollande
51.0%
▼8.5
Bernard Cazeneuve
32.5%
▼12.0
Yaël Braun-Pivet
9.55%
–
Manuel Bompard
8.50%
▲0.5
François Bayrou
6.85%
▲0.8
Jordan Bardella
6.05%
▲3.4
Michel Barnier
6.00%
▼1.0
Élisabeth Borne
5.95%
–
Gérald Darmanin
5.95%
▲0.9
Carole Delga
5.50%
–
Sébastien Lecornu
4.90%
▲1.7
Mathilde Panot
3.50%
–
Valérie Pécresse
3.30%
–
Jean Castex
2.25%
–
Probability over time
Dominique de Villepin
François Hollande
Bernard Cazeneuve
Yaël Braun-Pivet
Manuel Bompard
François Bayrou
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
