French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

Polymarket traders put "Olivier Faure" at 28.5% on "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place". Down 14.0%p from yesterday. $281 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 10.

Most likely right now
Olivier Faure
14.028%
PoliticsVol $281Total volume $281Liquidity $1.8Kin 1 months (Oct 10)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Olivier Faure
28.5%
14.0
Raphaël Glucksmann
25.5%
0.5
Philippe Brun
23.5%
3.5
Ségolène Royal
18.0%
6.0
Emmanuel Maurel
16.5%
10.5
Jérôme Guedj
15.0%
9.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.