French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner
Polymarket traders put "Raphaël Glucksmann" at 55.5% on "French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner". Up 19.5%p from yesterday. $740 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 10.
Most likely right now
Raphaël Glucksmann
▲19.556%
PoliticsVol $740Total volume $740Liquidity $1.7Kin 1 months (Oct 10)
Current probability
Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Raphaël Glucksmann
55.5%
▲19.5
Olivier Faure
18.0%
▼8.0
Jérôme Guedj
13.0%
▼10.5
Ségolène Royal
9.00%
▼17.0
Emmanuel Maurel
2.75%
▼21.3
Philippe Brun
1.15%
▼25.4
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
