Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?
Polymarket traders put "Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?" at 43.5%. Down 6.5%p from yesterday. $40 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 10.
Most likely right now
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?
▼6.544%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $40Liquidity $104Comments 1in 1 months (Oct 10)
Current probability
Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?
43.5%
▼6.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
