Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Most likely right now
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
–17%
PoliticsVol $4.6KTotal volume $550KLiquidity $126Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
16.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
