GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 33.5% on "GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". $372 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
–34%
PoliticsVol $372Total volume $4.9KLiquidity $127Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
33.5%
–
Democrat 60-65%
25.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 70%+
22.1%
▲7.2
Democrat 50-55%
17.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 65-70%
13.5%
–
Democrat 45-50%
2.30%
▼1.8
Republican Wins
1.90%
–
Democrat 0-30%
1.40%
–
Democrat 30-40%
0.60%
–
Democrat 40-45%
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 70%+
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
