GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-30%" at 33.0% on "GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-30%
▲2.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $118Liquidity $9.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-30%
33.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 55-60%
30.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 50-55%
30.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 40-45%
30.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 60-65%
29.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 65-70%
28.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 30-40%
26.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 45-50%
25.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 70%+
24.5%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
1.20%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 0-30%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 65-70%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
