GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 36.5% on "GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲1.537%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $330Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
36.5%
▲1.5
Republican 40-45%
34.5%
▼2.0
Republican 15-20%
32.0%
▼6.0
Republican 0-5%
30.5%
▼8.5
Republican 5-15%
29.5%
▼5.5
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
▼7.0
Republican 20-25%
28.0%
▼12.0
Republican 45%+
27.5%
▼10.0
Republican 35-40%
27.0%
▼5.5
Democrat Wins
18.0%
▼10.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
