GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 22.0% on "GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
–22%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $8.8KLiquidity $117Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
22.0%
–
Republican 20-25%
21.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
18.0%
▼14.0
Republican 15-20%
15.8%
▲0.8
Republican 35-40%
10.8%
▲6.0
Republican 5-15%
7.20%
–
Republican 0-5%
5.15%
–
Republican 45%+
4.30%
▼0.9
Democrat Wins
4.30%
–
Republican 40-45%
1.85%
–

Probability over time

Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 5-15%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.