GA-12 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 37.5% on "GA-12 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $85 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▲4.038%
PoliticsVol $85Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $134Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
37.5%
▲4.0
Republican 10-15%
28.2%
–
Republican 15-20%
18.5%
▲2.0
Republican 0-5%
15.5%
▼2.0
Republican 25%+
4.05%
▲2.3
Republican 20-25%
3.70%
▼1.6
Democrat 0-5%
2.85%
▼1.1
Democrat 5%+
0.25%
–

Probability over time

Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25%+
Republican 20-25%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.