GA-12 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 26.5% on "GA-12 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Down 8.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
8.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $807in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
26.5%
8.5
Democrat 5%+
24.0%
1.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.