Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? " at 15.0%. Down 12.0%p from yesterday. $89 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
▼12.015%
PoliticsVol $89Total volume $3.6KLiquidity $10KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
15.0%
▼12.0

Probability over time

Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.