GOP Black vote share?
Polymarket traders put "10–11%" at 35.0% on "GOP Black vote share?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $102 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 7.
Most likely right now
10–11%
▼1.535%
PoliticsVol $102Total volume $4.4KLiquidity $57Kin 18 days (Nov 7)
Current probability
Oct 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
10–11%
35.0%
▼1.5
8–9%
23.5%
▼11.0
12–13%
16.5%
▼1.5
<8%
8.00%
–
16–17%
6.00%
–
18%+
5.35%
▲0.5
14–15%
5.15%
–
Probability over time
10–11%
8–9%
12–13%
<8%
16–17%
18%+
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-20 · y-axis %
