GOP Black vote share?
Polymarket traders put "12–13%" at 46.5% on "GOP Black vote share?". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 7.
Most likely right now
12–13%
▼2.047%
PoliticsVol $140Total volume $140Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 7)
Current probability
Sep 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
12–13%
46.5%
▼2.0
14–15%
46.5%
▼1.0
10–11%
45.0%
▲1.5
8–9%
44.0%
▼1.0
16–17%
42.0%
▼7.5
<8%
26.0%
▼21.0
18%+
25.5%
▼22.5
Probability over time
12–13%
14–15%
10–11%
8–9%
16–17%
<8%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-05 · y-axis %
