Government shutdown by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 53.0% on "Government shutdown by...?". $147 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–53%
PoliticsVol $147Total volume $147Liquidity $161in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
53.0%
–
December 12
37.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
