Government shutdown by October 1?
Polymarket traders put "Government shutdown by October 1?" at 10.5%. Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $55 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 2.
Most likely right now
Government shutdown by October 1?
▲1.511%
PoliticsVol $55Total volume $7.2KLiquidity $20Kin 1 months (Oct 2)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Government shutdown by October 1?
10.5%
▲1.5
Probability over time
Government shutdown by October 1?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
