Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Polymarket traders put "Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?" at 1.6%. Unchanged from yesterday. $36 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 1.
Most likely right now
October 31
–2%
PoliticsVol $36Total volume $56KLiquidity $18KComments 1Closed (Oct 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
1.55%
–
Probability over time
October 31
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
