Harris's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "↓ 4%" at 100.0% on "Harris's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?". $4.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
↓ 4%
–100%
PoliticsVol $4.1KTotal volume $4.1KLiquidity $11Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↓ 4%
100.0%
–
↑ 10%
45.5%
▲38.0
↑ 8%
21.0%
▼25.0
Probability over time
↓ 4%
↑ 10%
↑ 8%
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %
