Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 31.5% on "Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 13.5%p from yesterday. $593 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▼13.532%
PoliticsVol $593Total volume $4.0KLiquidity $77Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
31.5%
▼13.5
Democrat 35-40%
20.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 25-30%
19.5%
▲13.5
Democrat 40-45%
14.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 45%+
4.90%
▲0.9
Democrat 20-25%
2.40%
▲0.6
Democrat 15-20%
0.50%
–
Republican Wins
0.45%
▼0.9
Democrat 0-10%
0.45%
–
Democrat 10-15%
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
