Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45%+" at 37.7% on "Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 11.6%p from yesterday. $415 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45%+
▲11.638%
PoliticsVol $415Total volume $14KLiquidity $134Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45%+
37.7%
▲11.6
Democrat 40-45%
30.0%
–
Democrat 25-30%
20.0%
▲13.5
Democrat 30-35%
19.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
15.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 0-10%
0.30%
–
Republican Wins
0.25%
–
Democrat 20-25%
0.25%
–
Democrat 10-15%
0.05%
–
Democrat 15-20%
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 0-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
