Highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2?

Polymarket traders put "Below G1" at 71.5% on "Highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2?". $129 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.

Most likely right now
Below G1
–72%
TechVol $129Total volume $129Liquidity $725in 3 days (Oct 5)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Below G1
71.5%
–
G1
14.5%
–
G2
13.5%
–
G3 or higher
13.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.