Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

Polymarket traders put "Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?" at 11.5%. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?
–12%
EconomyVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $913in 11 days (Oct 28)
Current probability

Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?
11.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.