Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "John Kelly" at 25.0% on "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $73 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
John Kelly
1.025%
PoliticsVol $73Total volume $73Liquidity $18Kin 2 months (Oct 28)
Current probability

Sep 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
John Kelly
25.0%
1.0
Bill Harvey
16.5%
7.0
Ryan Posselt
14.5%
33.0
Louise Bloomfield
12.0%
33.0
Mike Dutta
11.5%
11.5
Marti Zucco
11.5%
11.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.