Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "John Kelly" at 37.0% on "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $8 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
John Kelly
▲0.537%
PoliticsVol $8Total volume $18KLiquidity $72Kin 8 days (Oct 28)
Current probability

Oct 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
John Kelly
37.0%
▲0.5
Bill Harvey
11.8%
▼3.1
Marti Zucco
11.0%
–
Mike Dutta
4.95%
–
Ryan Posselt
4.45%
–
Louise Bloomfield
3.40%
–
Harvey Lennon
2.40%
–

Probability over time

John Kelly
Bill Harvey
Marti Zucco
Mike Dutta
Ryan Posselt
Louise Bloomfield
02550751009/59/139/219/2910/710/1510/20
2026-09-05 ~ 2026-10-20 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.