Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Polymarket traders put "Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?" at 0.5%. Down 0.6%p from yesterday. $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 1.
Most likely right now
October 31
▼0.61%
PoliticsVol $1.0KTotal volume $74KLiquidity $23KClosed (Oct 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
0.50%
▼0.6
Probability over time
October 31
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
