House Minority Leader of the next Congress?
Polymarket traders put "Jim Jordan" at 39.5% on "House Minority Leader of the next Congress?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $595 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Jim Jordan
▲2.540%
PoliticsVol $595Total volume $949Liquidity $35Kin 5 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Jim Jordan
39.5%
▲2.5
Mike Johnson
25.0%
▼1.5
Tom Emmer
24.0%
▲3.5
Steve Scalise
20.0%
▼1.0
Lisa McClain
16.5%
▼2.0
Blake Moore
15.0%
▼5.5
Hakeem Jeffries
9.00%
▼14.0
Katherine Clark
8.65%
▼10.3
Kevin Hern
5.00%
▼14.5
Probability over time
Jim Jordan
Mike Johnson
Tom Emmer
Steve Scalise
Lisa McClain
Blake Moore
2026-10-29 ~ 2026-10-30 · y-axis %
