Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
Polymarket traders put "October 1" at 50.0% on "Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?". Up 21.0%p from yesterday. $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 31 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
October 1
▲21.050%
PoliticsVol $2.5KTotal volume $2.5KLiquidity $3.2Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 1
50.0%
▲21.0
October 9
43.0%
▲17.0
October 25
37.5%
▲11.5
October 7
36.0%
▲21.5
October 10
36.0%
▲10.0
October 11
36.0%
▲10.0
October 8
35.0%
▲9.0
October 15
35.0%
▲9.0
October 6
30.5%
▲4.5
October 17
29.0%
▲3.0
October 31
29.0%
▲3.0
October 3
28.5%
▲2.5
October 4
28.5%
▲2.5
October 18
28.5%
▲2.5
October 20
28.5%
▲2.5
October 23
28.5%
▲2.5
October 28
28.5%
▲2.5
October 5
28.0%
▲2.0
October 14
28.0%
▲2.0
October 16
28.0%
▲2.0
October 21
28.0%
▲2.0
October 22
28.0%
▲2.0
October 24
28.0%
▲2.0
October 27
28.0%
▲2.0
October 29
28.0%
▲2.0
October 30
28.0%
▲2.0
October 13
27.5%
▲1.5
October 19
27.5%
▲1.5
October 26
27.5%
▲1.5
October 2
22.5%
▼3.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
