Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 30.0% on "Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. $15K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
4.530%
PoliticsVol $15KTotal volume $15KLiquidity $21Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
30.0%
4.5
December 31
28.5%
3.0
September 30
21.0%
4.5
September 20
8.00%
17.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.