Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 17.5% on "Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?". $77 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
September 30
18%
PoliticsVol $77Total volume $77Liquidity $1.7Kin 20 days (Oct 1)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
17.5%
September 15
11.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.