How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "4.70%" at 100.0% on "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?". Up 29.4%p from yesterday. $3.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
4.70%
▲29.4100%
EconomyVol $3.7KTotal volume $3.7KLiquidity $593in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.70%
100.0%
▲29.4
4.75%
100.0%
▲35.4
4.80%
78.5%
▲22.0
4.85%
73.5%
▲22.0
4.95%
70.5%
▲30.5
4.90%
70.0%
▲27.0
5.10%
68.5%
▲46.0
5.00%
61.5%
▲30.0
5.25%
52.5%
▲36.0
Probability over time
4.70%
4.75%
4.80%
4.85%
4.95%
4.90%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-11 · y-axis %
