How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "4.70%" at 100.0% on "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?". Up 29.4%p from yesterday. $12K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 14 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
4.70%
▲29.4100%
EconomyVol $12KTotal volume $172KLiquidity $12Kin 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.70%
100.0%
▲29.4
4.75%
100.0%
▲35.4
4.80%
100.0%
▲6.5
4.85%
100.0%
▲9.4
4.90%
100.0%
▲32.1
4.95%
100.0%
▲31.4
5.00%
100.0%
▲25.9
4.80%
99.5%
–
4.90%
86.0%
▲10.0
5.00%
71.5%
▲15.5
5.05%
68.0%
▲10.5
5.10%
49.2%
▼3.5
5.15%
38.5%
▲1.5
5.25%
20.0%
▼1.0
Probability over time
4.70%
4.75%
4.80%
4.85%
4.90%
4.95%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-26 · y-axis %
