How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "↑ 47%" at 10.4% on "How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?". There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
↑ 47%
10%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $7.5KLiquidity $7.9Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↑ 47%
10.4%
↑ 50%
6.40%
0.9
↑ 44%
6.05%
↑ 46%
6.00%
↑ 48%
5.75%
↑ 45%
5.50%
↑ 49%
4.20%

Probability over time

↑ 47%
↑ 50%
↑ 44%
↑ 46%
↑ 48%
↑ 45%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.