How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "↑ 46%" at 7.3% on "How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 4.
Most likely right now
↑ 46%
–7%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.4KLiquidity $6.7Kin 3 months (Jan 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↑ 46%
7.30%
–
↑ 44%
5.95%
–
↑ 45%
5.00%
–
↑ 48%
4.90%
–
↑ 49%
4.45%
–
↑ 47%
4.00%
–
↑ 50%
3.25%
–
Probability over time
↑ 46%
↑ 44%
↑ 45%
↑ 48%
↑ 49%
↑ 47%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
