How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?

Polymarket traders put "15s+" at 52.5% on "How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?". $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 8.

Most likely right now
15s+
53%
PoliticsVol $1Total volume $1Liquidity $2.4Kin 21 days (Oct 8)
Current probability

Sep 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
15s+
52.5%
6–10s
46.0%
10–15s
46.0%
<2s
37.5%
2–6s
21.0%
No Handshake
12.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.