How long will Trump and Xi shake hands at APEC?
Polymarket traders put "2–6s" at 31.5% on "How long will Trump and Xi shake hands at APEC?". $3.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
2–6s
–32%
PoliticsVol $3.4KTotal volume $3.4KLiquidity $45Kin 19 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
2–6s
31.5%
–
6–10s
31.5%
–
10–15s
21.5%
–
15s+
11.0%
–
<2s
4.50%
–
No Handshake
4.00%
–
Photographed only
1.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
