How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "37%" at 96.0% on "How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?". Up 2.1%p from yesterday. $708 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 4.

Most likely right now
37%
▲2.196%
PoliticsVol $708Total volume $159KLiquidity $17Kin 3 months (Jan 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
37%
96.0%
▲2.1
36%
62.0%
▼6.0
35%
26.5%
▼1.5
34%
13.0%
▲1.5
30%
4.00%
–
25%
3.65%
–
20%
2.50%
–

Probability over time

37%
36%
35%
34%
30%
25%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.