How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Polymarket traders put "0" at 93.0% on "How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary? ". There are 4 possible outcomes.

Most likely right now
0
93%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $28KLiquidity $36K
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
0
93.0%
1
4.25%
2
0.65%
3
0.15%

Probability over time

0
1
2
3
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.