How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "4" at 70.7% on "How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $469 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
4
▼1.571%
PoliticsVol $469Total volume $7.6MLiquidity $311Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4
70.7%
▼1.5
5
12.9%
–
6
2.50%
–
15+
2.15%
–
7
1.80%
–
10
1.35%
–
8
1.15%
–
9
1.05%
–
14
0.55%
–
12
0.50%
–
13
0.25%
–
11
0.15%
–
Probability over time
4
5
6
15+
7
10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
