How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
Most likely right now
8
▲3.060%
PoliticsVol $210Total volume $1.6MLiquidity $120KComments 36in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
8
59.9%
▲3.0
9
31.3%
▲3.0
10
2.95%
▼0.9
11
2.75%
–
13
0.70%
–
15+
0.55%
–
12
0.30%
–
14
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
