How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

Most likely right now
8
3.060%
PoliticsVol $210Total volume $1.6MLiquidity $120KComments 36in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
8
59.9%
3.0
9
31.3%
3.0
10
2.95%
0.9
11
2.75%
13
0.70%
15+
0.55%
12
0.30%
14
0.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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