How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
Polymarket traders put "48" at 75.0% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $90 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
48
▲0.575%
PoliticsVol $90Total volume $27KLiquidity $153Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
48
75.0%
▲0.5
47
21.0%
▼0.5
46
3.60%
–
49+
1.90%
–
44
1.20%
–
45
1.00%
–
<43
0.25%
–
43
0.25%
–
Probability over time
48
47
46
49+
44
45
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
