How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

Polymarket traders put "0" at 36.5% on "How many Independents will be elected to Congress?". $269 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
0
37%
PoliticsVol $269Total volume $269Liquidity $2.4Kin 1 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 24 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
0
36.5%
1
27.5%
2
16.5%
3
14.5%
4+
7.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.