How many Knesset members will abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?
Polymarket traders put "2" at 40.0% on "How many Knesset members will abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?". $15 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.
Most likely right now
2
–40%
PoliticsVol $15Total volume $15Liquidity $1.0Kin 4 months (Mar 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
2
40.0%
–
5–6
39.5%
–
0
39.0%
–
No vote by February 28
38.5%
–
1
38.5%
–
3
38.5%
–
4
38.5%
–
7–9
38.5%
–
10+
38.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
