How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
Polymarket traders put "1" at 26.5% on "How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $33 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
1
▲0.527%
PoliticsVol $33Total volume $9.6KLiquidity $12Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
1
26.5%
▲0.5
2
20.8%
–
0
16.6%
▲12.0
4
15.3%
▼0.8
3
12.0%
–
7+
10.5%
▲0.5
5
7.20%
▼1.4
6
5.95%
–
Probability over time
1
2
0
4
3
7+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
