How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
Most likely right now
400-500k
▲4.566%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $123KLiquidity $88Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
400-500k
66.0%
▲4.5
300-400k
18.0%
–
500-600k
8.80%
–
>1m
2.10%
–
600-700k
1.85%
–
<200k
1.80%
–
800-900k
1.25%
–
900k-1m
1.10%
–
700-800k
1.05%
–
200-300k
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
