How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
Polymarket traders put "325–339" at 32.5% on "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?". Down 8.0%p from yesterday. $32K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.
Most likely right now
325–339
▼8.033%
PoliticsVol $32KTotal volume $244KLiquidity $413KComments 6in 24 days (Sep 20)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
325–339
32.5%
▼8.0
340–354
24.5%
▲3.0
310–324
18.6%
–
355+
8.50%
–
295–309
4.70%
▲0.6
280–294
4.40%
▲2.1
<280
4.20%
–
Probability over time
325–339
340–354
310–324
355+
295–309
280–294
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
