How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 17?
Polymarket traders put "200+" at 99.2% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 17?". Up 30.2%p from yesterday. $3.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 23.
Most likely right now
200+
▲30.299%
PoliticsVol $3.1KTotal volume $30KLiquidity $38KClosed (Aug 23)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
200+
99.2%
▲30.2
160-179
0.45%
▼8.1
180-199
0.25%
▼8.8
<160
0.15%
▼4.3
Probability over time
200+
160-179
180-199
<160
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
