How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?
Polymarket traders put "170-189" at 46.0% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?". Up 25.0%p from yesterday. $1.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 9.
Most likely right now
170-189
▲25.046%
PoliticsVol $1.9KTotal volume $1.9KLiquidity $32Kin 10 days (Nov 9)
Current probability
Oct 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
170-189
46.0%
▲25.0
210+
30.0%
▲8.5
190-209
24.5%
▲3.5
<150
4.25%
▼16.3
150-169
2.45%
▼19.1
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
