How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?

Polymarket traders put "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?" at 26.0%. Down 20.0%p from yesterday. $9 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 16.

Most likely right now
<150
▼20.026%
PoliticsVol $9Total volume $9Liquidity $231in 11 days (Nov 16)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<150
26.0%
▼20.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.