How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?
Polymarket traders put "190-209" at 72.5% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?". Up 47.0%p from yesterday. $729 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 12.
Most likely right now
190-209
▲47.073%
PoliticsVol $729Total volume $729Liquidity $177in 10 days (Oct 12)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
190-209
72.5%
▲47.0
170-189
24.5%
▼1.0
230+
13.5%
▼12.0
<170
10.0%
▼15.5
210-229
5.00%
▼20.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
