How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
Polymarket traders put "170-189" at 45.5% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?". $21K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 13.
Most likely right now
170-189
–46%
PoliticsVol $21KTotal volume $21KLiquidity $644in 10 days (Sep 13)
Current probability
Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
170-189
45.5%
–
<170
39.5%
–
190-209
36.5%
–
210-229
28.5%
–
230+
22.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
