How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?
Polymarket traders put "<20" at 49.6% on "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?". Up 29.1%p from yesterday. $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 9.
Most likely right now
<20
▲29.150%
PoliticsVol $1.8KTotal volume $1.8KLiquidity $582in 10 days (Nov 9)
Current probability
Oct 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
<20
49.6%
▲29.1
20-24
43.5%
▲22.9
35-39
32.5%
▲12.0
30-34
20.5%
–
25-29
15.5%
▼5.5
40+
15.0%
▼5.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
