How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
Polymarket traders put "25-29" at 37.5% on "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?". Up 11.5%p from yesterday. $3.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 12.
Most likely right now
25-29
▲11.538%
PoliticsVol $3.7KTotal volume $3.7KLiquidity $3.8Kin 10 days (Oct 12)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
25-29
37.5%
▲11.5
30-34
22.5%
▼3.0
20-24
15.0%
▼10.5
<20
10.5%
▼15.0
35-39
9.00%
▼16.5
40+
8.50%
▼17.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
