How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?

Polymarket traders put "35-39" at 40.0% on "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 13.

Most likely right now
35-39
40%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $40Liquidity $645in 10 days (Sep 13)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
35-39
40.0%
20-24
25.0%
<20
24.0%
30-34
24.0%
25-29
23.5%
40+
23.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.