How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

Polymarket traders put "<14" at 91.5% on "How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?". Up 47.0%p from yesterday. $922 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
<14
▲47.092%
TechVol $922Total volume $922Liquidity $976in 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<14
91.5%
▲47.0
14
32.0%
▼13.0
15
7.50%
▼37.0
16
5.50%
▼39.5
17+
5.50%
▼38.5

Probability over time

<14
14
15
16
17+
025507510010/110/2
2026-10-01 ~ 2026-10-02 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.