How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will KMT win?
Polymarket traders put "9" at 35.0% on "How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will KMT win?". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. $556 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 29.
Most likely right now
9
▼4.535%
PoliticsVol $556Total volume $556Liquidity $3.3Kin 24 days (Nov 29)
Current probability
Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
9
35.0%
▼4.5
10
32.0%
▲6.5
13
30.5%
▼7.5
14
29.5%
▼10.0
11
29.0%
▲3.0
≤7
28.5%
▼10.0
≥15
28.0%
▼9.0
12
27.0%
▼11.5
8
13.5%
▼25.5
Probability over time
9
10
13
14
11
≤7
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %
